About Nesta

Nesta is a research and innovation foundation. We apply our deep expertise in applied methods to design, test and scale solutions to some of the biggest challenges of our time, working across the innovation lifecycle.

Tax-free electricity

Ahead of the upcoming budget, the Treasury is rightly focused on intervening to lower the cost of energy for households.

We want to ensure that any intervention delivers both immediate relief and is a powerful long-term mechanism for electricity cost control, fuel poverty reduction and home decarbonisation. 

This tax-free electricity policy proposal is a strategic investment in a more affordable energy future that offers a significant return to the exchequer through reduced debt and welfare costs, and makes electricity a competitively priced fuel for every UK home.

The package would be delivered through three actions:

  1. Removing legacy subsidies from bills: Offsetting the cost of the Renewables Obligation and Feed-in-Tariff on electricity bills.
  2. Removing VAT from electricity: A targeted VAT cut to electricity bills.
  3. Taking the ECO Levy off electricity: Adjusting the ECO levy to remove it from electricity bills,  without raising costs for the typical gas household.

This package of three policy interventions would deliver an estimated £151 annual saving for a typical dual-fuel household, with even greater savings for homes reliant solely on electricity.  

Crucially, Nesta’s analysis shows that this intervention is a strategic fiscal move that directly combats inflation, reducing the headline rate by 0.3%.

This proposal would correct the disproportionate burden on electricity bills - that carry greater taxes and levies compared to gas - and reduce the electricity-to-gas price ratio from 4.2 to 3.1. 

This vital rebalancing is also the key to making electricity-powered home heating technologies, like heat pumps, definitively cheaper to run than gas boilers. This is vital for the 18% of households that do not use gas, who often face the highest energy bills and rates of fuel poverty and energy debt. 

The approach creates the essential conditions for the upcoming Warm Homes Plan, making it easier to scale up efforts to tackle fuel poverty and secure a permanently lower-cost clean energy system for the UK.

Download the policy brief to learn more.

Tax-free electricity*

* The following text has been generated automatically from a PDF document. Please bear in mind that there may be some discrepancies between the original document and the automatically generated content. The original PDF is available to download and refer to.

Tax-free electricity

* The following text has been generated automatically from a PDF document. Please bear in mind that there may be some discrepancies between the original document and the automatically generated content. The original PDF is available to download and refer to.

Blue banner with white text "Policy brief" and decorative purple geometric shapes, indicating a document title or section header.

Tax-free electricity

A proposal to remove most taxes on electricity to reduce bills and promote clean heating

Summary

We welcome reports that the government is considering major intervention to reduce energy bills at the upcoming Budget. Cheaper energy is an important ambition, but we do not believe simply cutting VAT from gas and electricity bills is the best way to deliver this.

Any major intervention on energy bills should produce immediate, meaningful savings for consumers, alongside supporting the government to meet long-term commitments around home decarbonisation, fuel poverty and carbon emissions.

The government's best option is to focus on making electricity cheaper. Electricity is used by all households, unlike gas, and it is the clean, homemade fuel of the future, essential to reducing carbon emissions.

Nesta proposes that the government should remove almost all taxes from electricity in the upcoming Budget. It should remove or offset the legacy renewable levies - Renewables Obligation (RO) and Feed-in-Tariffs (FiT) - and remove VAT and the Energy Company Obligation (ECO) levy from electricity bills.

Taken together, these measures would immediately reduce a typical dual fuel (gas-using) household's energy bill by £151 per year at a cost of £5.4 billion in 2026/27.1

This would reduce the headline rate of inflation by around 0.3%.2

Crucially, it would also reduce the crucial electricity to gas price ratio from 4.2 to 3.1, meaning that switching to a heat pump would greatly reduce energy bills. This would support the government's forthcoming Warm Homes Plan, enabling it to reduce energy bills and fuel poverty at the same time as supporting longer-term efforts to reduce carbon emissions and meet the Carbon Budgets and the UK's international climate commitments.

While this option is more expensive than a VAT cut, it has two key advantages. First, the reduction in bills is large enough to both create a tangible difference that people will notice and to avoid it being swallowed up by upcoming increases in energy bills. Second, the government can achieve two key objectives - lower bills and lower carbon emissions - at once. Focusing any government support on reducing electricity bills is the best option in the short and long term.

Context and principles to guide action

If the government is considering making a major intervention on energy bills, it should aim to:

1. Bring down bills by an amount that will make a tangible difference to people's bank accounts and to inflation.

The UK has higher energy costs than most peer nations and expensive energy bills are a major driver of inflation.3,4,5 The cost of energy is a top public concern. Over the last two years, average bills have regularly changed quarter-to-quarter - rising by up to £123 and falling by up to £270. For the average billpayer to feel a tangible difference in their energy costs, we expect that bills would need to fall by ~£150.

2. Futureproof the bill reduction.

Rising global exports of LNG may herald cheaper gas. But network costs, generation subsidies, and debt costs are all set to increase in the near future.67 Rising network charges alone could add £30 to electricity bills next year. Government actions need to address both current costs and the headwinds facing electricity bills.

including the statutory targets set out in the Carbon Budget and Growth Delivery Plan.8 Electricity is currently 4.2 times the price of gas, and without action, this price ratio may get worse. This will make it harder to deliver both the Clean Power Action Plan and Warm Homes Plan. Conversely, lowering electricity prices will boost demand for electricity and, in turn, support the delivery of these key commitments. The government should act to reduce the electricity/gas price ratio to 3.3 or below - the point at which heat pumps become cheaper to run than gas boilers.9

Nesta's proposal: tax-free electricity

We welcome reports that the government is considering major intervention to reduce energy bills at the upcoming Budget. Nesta's proposal is to remove the main taxes from electricity bills, including policy costs and VAT. This proposal would:

  • Cancel out the cost of legacy renewables subsidies. The Renewables Obligation and Feed-in-Tariff, which are ongoing subsidies to early renewable energy projects, add around £3.9 billion to electricity bills. While the levy mechanisms are complex and cannot be unpicked in the short term, the government can immediately offset the unit cost of the levies by using the Energy Price Guarantee mechanism (effectively removing them). This would cost £3.9 billion a year initially, but this would fall over time as the schemes wind down. By itself, it would reduce the typical dual-fuel energy bill by £114.
  • Remove VAT from electricity. Removing VAT from electricity bills would cost around £1.5 billion a year and reduce a typical household bill by a further £43.
  • Adjust the ECO levy so that it does not fall on electricity. The government should remove the electricity part of the ECO levy in a cost-neutral way that does not raise bills for the typical dual fuel household. This can be achieved by reducing the overall size of the ECO levy (to around £1.4 billion per year) and putting these costs entirely on gas bills. Because the amount being added to gas bills equals the amount that dual fuel households already contribute through their electricity bills, there is no net change in their energy cost. This is also cost-neutral to the government and would reduce the price ratio.

The table below summarises the components of this proposal. Taken together, it would:

  • Reduce the typical dual fuel household's energy bill by more than £150
  • Reduce the electricity to gas price ratio to around 3.1, making heat pumps cheaper to run than gas boilers and supporting the government's Warm Homes Plan
Cost Typical savings (dual fuel) Typical savings (heat pump) Price ratio
£0 £0 £0 4.2
£3.9 billion £114 £249 3.5 (Reduces the price ratio by ~0.7)
£1.5 billion £43 £83 4.0 (Reduces the price ratio by ~0.2)
£0 £0 £55 3.9 (Reduces the price ratio by ~0.3)
£5.4 billion £151 £387 3.1

Tax-free electricity versus removing VAT from energy bills

A decision to cut VAT from both electricity and gas bills would cost the government around £2.5 billion per year (in perpetuity). It would reduce energy bills by £83 for both a typical dual fuel household and a typical household with a heat pump. While a VAT cut would be cheaper than our proposal (at least initially), it has a number of drawbacks compared to our tax-free electricity proposal:

  • Risk of bill savings being cancelled out - saving £83 is within the range of normal movements in the price cap and is at risk of getting missed by households.
  • Smaller benefit for non-gas households - 18% of households would have no benefit from a VAT cut on gas.
  • Failing to support the Warm Homes Plan and Plan for Change - a VAT cut on both bills would have no impact on the electricity/gas price ratio, meaning that the government would still need to take action on electricity prices for the Warm Homes Plan to work.

If the option to cut VAT is pursued, the government must also reduce and rebalance the ECO levy from electricity to gas bills, as set out above, and introduce a targeted discount to ensure that when consumers install heat pumps, they can save money. Alternatively, if the Treasury is prepared to spend £2.5bn to reduce bills, but not to go as far as our proposal, a much better use of this money would be to reduce levy costs. This would reduce the price ratio to 3.8. Rebalancing the ECO levy would then reduce the price ratio to 3.5 with changes to ECO. Further targeted measures would still be needed to reach the target of 3.3.

Cost Typical savings (dual fuel) Typical savings (heat pump) Price ratio
£2.5 billion £83 £83 4.2
£2.5 billion £83 £135 3.910
£2.5 billion £73 £160 3.8
£2.5 billion £73 £215 3.5
£5.4 billion £151 £387 3.1

Distributional impacts of policy choices for energy bills

Any reduction in the unit cost of energy will benefit wealthier households more in absolute terms than poorer households, as wealthier households on average use more energy. However, poorer households spend more on energy as a proportion of their overall income.11 Raising money to support government policies through energy bills is generally seen as less progressive than funding them through general taxation.

Cutting taxes on electricity specifically has a few points in its favour over a VAT cut on both energy bills:

  • Dual fuel households have the lowest rates of fuel poverty and the smallest fuel poverty gap.12,13 The highest rates of fuel poverty (and the largest gap) is seen in households using electric heating. Reducing electricity costs would benefit these households significantly, as the chart below shows.
  • Heating is the main use of energy in most homes. While heat demand is closely linked to the size and quality of homes (and therefore income), other (non-heat) energy use is almost all electricity and the amount used varies more between households.

Bar chart comparing energy bill savings from a VAT cut versus a Nesta option across various household deprivation levels and heating types.

Source: DESNZ (2025) National Energy Efficiency Data-Framework (NEED), Ofgem (2025) Energy price cap (default tariff) levels


Footnotes


  1. We define a 'typical' dual fuel household as one using 2.7MWh of electricity and 11.5MWh of gas per year, in line with Ofgem's 2023 Typical Domestic Consumption Values. We also assume that a typical heat-pump household uses 5.9 MWh per year, and a typical household with a storage heater uses 7.1MWh per year. 

  2. This calculation is based on consumer spending on energy bills (04.5) being £42.7 billion (from ONS Consumer Trends), and having a weight of 33.7 out of 1000 in the CPI basket 

  3. DESNZ (2025) International domestic energy prices 

  4. Resolution Foundation (2025) Splitting the Bill 

  5. UK Onward (2024) Target Practice 

  6. LCCC (2025) CfD Two Year Forecast 

  7. Cornwall Insight (2025) Rising Transmission Costs to Add £30 to Household Energy Bills from Next April 

  8. DESNZ (2025) Carbon budget and growth delivery plan 

  9. A ratio of 3.3 is a threshold where the running costs of a heat pump (at COP 2.8) reach parity with a typical gas boiler. This condition guarantees that any low-income households that get a heat pump funded through a Government scheme will not see their bills rise. 

  10. Because the adjustment to ECO involves rebalancing costs between electricity and gas bills, rather than removing them, it has a bigger effect on the price ratio than other interventions listed here. 

  11. Resolution Foundation (2025) Black holes and consolidations: Previewing the key decisions for Budget 2025 

  12. The fuel poverty gap measures the additional income needed to take a household out of fuel poverty. The average fuel poverty gap for English households using gas heating is £288, compared to £780 for those using electrical heating. 

  13. DESNZ (2025) Fuel poverty detailed tables 2025 (2024 data) 

Part of
Net zero policy

Authors

Marcus Shepheard

Marcus Shepheard

Marcus Shepheard

Policy Manager, sustainable future mission

Marcus is the policy manager in Nesta's sustainable future mission.

View profile
Andrew Sissons

Andrew Sissons

Andrew Sissons

Director, sustainable future mission

Andrew is a director on Nesta's mission to create a sustainable future, which focuses on decarbonisation and economic recovery.

View profile